That obviously doesn't clear the hurdle rate of 72.4%. If we look back in our Bet Labs database, all NFL regular season spreads since 2003 covered only 68.7% (6,638-3,026) of the time if teased six points over a sample set containing just under 10,000 data points. In order to break even on a 6-point teaser at -110, you need teams that have a greater than 72.4% chance of covering after being teased.

You may hear some bettors refer to doing this as the good ol' Wong teaser (in reference to gambling author Stanford Wong). Here's a list of key numbers for NFL spreads - games end at 3 or 7 a combined 25% of the team.įrom a purely mathematical standpoint, you give yourself an edge without taking anything else into account by simply crossing 3 and 7 with both parts of a teaser at -110. Therefore, you almost always want to cross both when teasing a side. However, 3 and 7 are kings since games end on those two numbers at a significantly higher clip than the rest. Historically, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10 and 14 are the six most common margins of victory in the NFL.

3 team special teaser rules